MLB Baseball Betting Odds

LOS ANGELES DODGERS (9-10) at NEW YORK METS (9-9) Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: New York -153 & 7 under -125
2013-04-27

The Dodgers took the series opener 7-2 on Tuesday night, though they shouldnt expect to get that much offense in game two. The 24-year-old Harvey (4-0, 0.93 ERA) has shown why was so highly regarded as a prospect in the early going of this season. Veteran left-hander Ted Lilly takes the mound for the Dodgers, making his season debut after dealing with a shoulder injury that ended his 2012 season prematurely. Although the Mets own a slight 8-7 advantage against the Dodgers over the past three years, the Dodgers are now 5-2 at Citi Field over that span.

Lilly is 2-2 (team 3-3) with a 3.72 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in six career starts against the Mets. Last season, he pitched in just eight games, compiling a strong 3.14 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 5-1 record. Hes been called up quickly after injuries forced a need as he was struggling in the minors. But in three minor-league starts this year, he went 0-3 with a 6.88 ERA. If he struggles and cant go deep, the Dodgers bullpen that has a 3.40 ERA and 1.28 WHIP this year will be forced to play a big role. An encouraging stat for Lillys chances: the Mets are 2-5 against lefty starters this year.

Harvey has been nearly unhittable this season, even taking a no-hitter into the seventh inning a couple of starts ago. Hes given up just 10 hits and nine walks in 29 innings (0.66 WHIP), while racking up 32 K's and holding opponents to a mere .108 BA against him. In each of his four starts, hes gone at least seven innings. Thats good news for a Mets bullpen that has a 5.46 ERA this season and gave up six runs on Tuesday. New York relievers had to pitch 6.2 innings Tuesday, filling in after starter Jon Niese got injured. Harvey has never started against the Dodgers in his young career, but he has been masterful in six career starts at Citi Field, posting a 1.42 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and 46 K's in 38 innings.

The Mets are fourth in the majors with 101 runs this season, ranking eighth in slugging (.423) and ninth in on-base percentage (.328). Leading that effort has been catcher John Buck, who is mashing with seven home runs and 22 RBI already. The Mets player with the best track record against Lilly is Marlon Byrd, who has a .471 BA in 17 career at-bats against the southpaw with a home run and 8 RBI. The Los Angeles offense has the second-fewest runs in MLB with just 61, despite posting a .344 OBP, which ranks fourth in the majors. Leading all departments of their offense is first baseman Adrian Gonzalez, who is hitting .377 with two home runs and 14 RBI.




MLB: Four Thursday MLB games boast powerful trends
2010-07-01

One of the things I NFL Lines make sure to do every morning throughout the baseball season is to dig through the FoxSheets Power Searches for the best available betting angles for that day’s action. Over the last couple of days I shared some of the best systems that I found intriguing. For Thursday, I’m concentrating on some interesting trends that are sure to affect four different nighttime games. Let’s take a look at those. For more key betting info, visit the GAME MATCHUPS page. Lines courtesy of Sportsbook.com.

<b>(955) NY METS (SANTANA) at (956) WASHINGTON (HERNANDEZ) - 7:05 PM</b>

<b><i>Line: Mets -130, Total: 8 OV-105</b></i>

The first game of interest finds the Mets coming back from Puerto Rico to visit Washington. The pitching matchup is a good one, with Johan Santana squaring off against Livan Hernandez. There are two interesting trends that could produce a correlated parlay for the game:

<li>NY METS are 17-4 UNDER (+12.5 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. The average score was NY METS 3.1, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*)

<li>JOHAN SANTANA is 73-13 (+48 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. The average score was SANTANA 5.1, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 3*)

The bottom line is that Santana is usually at his best against the league’s lesser teams, while at the same time, the Mets as a club don’t typically hit well when matched against weaker hitting foes. By the looks of these angles, this game has all the makings of a 4-3 Mets win.

<b>(959) SAN FRANCISCO (BUMGARNER) at (960) COLORADO (COOK) 8:40 PM</b>

<b><i>Line: Colorado -140, Total: 9.5 -110</b></i>

<li>COLORADO is 14-1 UNDER (+13 Units) after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 4.4, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Colorado comes off a huge series win at San Diego, where it took two of three games. Unfortunately, Game 3 was the stinker, with the Padres whipping the Rockies 13-3. It sets up for a nice angle on an UNDER the total for today’s series opener with San Francisco though. After a big game in which the pitching staff was rocked, Colorado has come back well, holding opponents to just 3.6 runs per game. When you consider that many of these contests are at Coors Field, the allowance is even more impressive. Of course, it shouldn’t be all that shocking, as the Rockies’ bullpen has been one of the best in baseball this season with a WHIP of 1.276. It’s not often they are shelled in back-to-back games.

<b>(967) OAKLAND (CAHILL) at (968) BALTIMORE (ARRIETA) 7:05 PM</b>

<b><i>Line: Oakland -140, Total: 8.5 OV-105</b></i>

The A’s Trevor Cahill is quietly putting together one of the better seasons in the American League this year among starting pitchers. His WHIP is just 1.080 and his team is 9-3 in games he starts in 2010. His success leads to another side/total parlay opportunity:

<li>BALTIMORE is 1-16 (-14.3 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. The average score was BALTIMORE 2.8, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 2*)

<li>TREVOR CAHILL is 18-5 UNDER (+12.2 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CAHILL 4, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)

In essence, Baltimore can’t hit good pitchers and Oakland’s offense typically isn’t good enough to produce OVER’s in such situations. Coming off Wednesday’s 9-6 win by the Orioles, expect a more focused pitching effort by the A’s.

<b>(969) TAMPA BAY (NIEMANN) at (970) MINNESOTA (PAVANO) 8:10 PM</b>

<b><i>Line: Minnesota -115, Total: 8.5 OV-105</b></i>

The Rays and Twins start a 4-game set from Minnesota on Thursday and the series opener is today’s FREE FoxSheet. On it you’ll find several strong trends, among them…

<li>JEFF NIEMANN is 12-0 (+12 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NIEMANN 7.8, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 2*)

<li>JOE MADDON is 13-41 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in road games in July games as the manager of TAMPA BAY. The average score was MADDON 3.4, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Most teams that beat Niemann do so by hitting the long ball. The Twins have hit just 22 in their first 39 games at Target Field. However, this game actually produces a very strong conflicting trend as well, as the Rays have struggled horribly on the road in July under Joe Maddon. Perhaps you’re as surprised as me to hear that. With the Twins one of the better home teams in baseball, and the Rays one of the best to date on the road, it figures to be a good game either way. Perhaps the StatFox Power Rating, which shows Tampa Bay -140, could be the deciding factor for you.