MLB Baseball Betting Odds

MLB: Boston visits New York for first time in ‘10
2010-05-17

The New York Yankees are coming off one of their most baffling losses in years, but they don't have time to dwell on it with a series against their archrivals looming. The Yankees look to bounce back when they open a two-game series against the Boston Red Sox in their first meeting of the season in the Bronx on Monday night. The hosts are a pricey -190 favorite according to Sportsbook.com.

Leading Minnesota 3-1 in the eighth inning Sunday, New York (24-13) was on the verge of sweeping a three-game series until closer Mariano Rivera surrendered a bases loaded walk and grand slam. It was the first grand slam off Rivera in eight years. The Yankees fell 6-3, losing for the third time in 15 home games.

New York opened this season by taking two of three in Boston and also won two of three at Fenway Park last weekend, scoring 24 runs in the victories. Mark Teixeira has driven in eight runs against the Red Sox and Nick Swisher has knocked in nine.

Phil Hughes (5-0, 1.38 ERA) looks to set the tone for this series when he takes the ball for the Yankees. His team is 5-1 in his six starts this season, producing 3.2 units of betting profit. Hughes, the team's No. 5 starter, leads the AL in ERA and opponents' batting average (.165), and has 39 strikeouts in 39 innings. He has a 0.86 ERA in winning his last three starts.

While Hughes has looked sharp in all six of his starts, Boston's Daisuke Matsuzaka (2-1, 6.35) will take the mound following his first impressive outing of the year. Matsuzaka, who started the year on the disabled list with a neck strain, recorded a 9.90 ERA in his first two outings before limiting Toronto to one run and three hits in seven innings of a 6-1 win Tuesday. The right-hander struck out nine and walked none.

Matsuzaka pitched well in his only start against New York last season, allowing one run and six hits in seven innings of a 3-0 loss Sept. 26 in the Bronx.

Boston dropped two of three in Detroit over the weekend, falling 5-1 on Sunday. The Red Sox, who have lost five of six on the road, went 2-7 at Yankee Stadium last season.

Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia is expected to be back in the lineup for this series after being held out Sunday to rest his right knee. He was 2 for 11 in the last series against the Yankees and is hitless in 11 career at-bats against Hughes.

The two most potent StatFox Betting Trends available for tonight’s contest favor the Yankees, and both stem from what figures to be continued struggles by Boston to produce offensively…

• BOSTON is 19-31 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 4.2, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)

• NY YANKEES are 56-18 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 5.9, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

The StatFox Power Line indicates New York should be a -188 favorite. Tonight’s first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET and you can find the game on ESPN.